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How many copies did Abyss School sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
from 842 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Abyss School and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Abyss School's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 324k–2.4M
best case 3.8M (GRIS)
Games like Abyss School

A typical game among these

≈ 324k–2.4M copies

≈ $2.2M–$6.8M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: GRIS at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (5 of 8) and Mature (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beautiful + Female Protagonist, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
The Medium
2021
Est. copies
≈ 256k–416k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Lost
2019
Est. copies
≈ 221k–358k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$152k–$408k after Steam's cut $276k–$627k before Steam's cut
$2.50
8k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Tomb Raider I-III Remastered Starring Lara Croft
2024
Est. copies
≈ 215k–349k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistAction-Adventure

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