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How many copies did God of Stickfights sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$562 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid God of Stickfights and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including God of Stickfights's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 202k–938k
best case 1.5M (ROUNDS)
Games like God of Stickfights

A typical game among these

≈ 202k–938k copies

≈ $1.0M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ROUNDS at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFighting
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Spiritfall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Fighter
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
Hand of Fate 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 200k–326k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Servants of Sumomon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$2.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Seraph's Last Stand
2022
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeCasual

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