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How many copies did Geometry Survivor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 105 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Geometry Survivor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Geometry Survivor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 561k–4.2M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Geometry Survivor

A typical game among these

≈ 561k–4.2M copies

≈ $3.1M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
The Flame in the Flood
2016
Est. copies
≈ 304k–494k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAdventure
Death Road to Canada
2016
Est. copies
≈ 438k–712k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsZombies
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Risk of Rain (2013)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
EVERSPACE™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 395k–642k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceAction Roguelike

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