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How many copies did Medieval Thief VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Medieval Thief VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Medieval Thief VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 439–14k
best case 138k (Moss VR)
Games like Medieval Thief VR

A typical game among these

≈ 439–14k copies

≈ $3k–$168k after Steam's cut

from ~45 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Moss VR at ≈ 105k–170k copies, ≈ $577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 221.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Presentiment of Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$14.99
62 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSports
STRIDE: Fates
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$255k before Steam's cut
$29.99
301 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionAdventure
Hubris
2022
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$179k–$482k after Steam's cut $326k–$741k before Steam's cut
$29.99
876 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRAction
Moss VR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
77x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRAdventure
Monkey Doo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$14.99
11 reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterPrecision Platformer
System Critical: The Race Against Time
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRShooter
Mixture
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$19.99
14 reviews
Positive
VRAction-Adventure
Outta Hand
2024
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$19.99
28 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure

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