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How many copies did Matchmaker: Dungeon Heart sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Matchmaker: Dungeon Heart and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Matchmaker: Dungeon Heart's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–16k
best case 122k (Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight)
Games like Matchmaker: Dungeon Heart

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–16k copies

≈ $8k–$21k after Steam's cut

from ~354 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight at ≈ 93k–151k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 110 reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 223.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Female Protagonist.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$19.99
390 reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Puzzle
Tower of Waifus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$1.99
317 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Adorable Crush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$2.99
650 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dating SimHentai
Love Fantasy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$1.99
311 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
My Cute Commissar
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$1.99
459 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Girls Overboard
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
205 reviews
Mixed
Dating SimSexual Content
My Bunny Girl
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$824–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
122 reviews
Mostly Positive
Match 3Nudity

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.