How much revenue did Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To make?

$53k–$143k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To sell?

Q: How many copies did Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 390 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut; from 390 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 142k–255k

best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)

Games like Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To

A typical game among these

≈ 142k–255k copies

≈ $944k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 207 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Crime + Detective; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
AI: The Somnium Files 2019	Est. copies ≈ 272k–442k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
Minds Beneath Us 2024	Est. copies ≈ 159k–259k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $876k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CinematicAtmospheric
Threefold Recital 2025	Est. copies ≈ 144k–234k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DramaMystery
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
Storyteller 2023	Est. copies ≈ 229k–372k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 104k–170k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $783k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	HentaiSexual Content