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How many copies did Hive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–28k
$48k–$129k after Steam's cut $88k–$199k before Steam's cut
from 313 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 277–16k
best case 73k (Chaos Reborn)
Games like Hive

A typical game among these

≈ 277–16k copies

≈ $21k–$187k after Steam's cut

from ~112 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Chaos Reborn at ≈ 56k–91k copies, ≈ $154k–$413k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 3 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hex Grid (7 of 8) and Turn-Based (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based + Fantasy, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$114k–$307k after Steam's cut $208k–$473k before Steam's cut
$19.99
329 reviews
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Steam: Rails to Riches
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$9.99
121 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyBoard Game
Chaos Reborn
2015
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$636k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyRPG
Drive on Moscow
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $21k–$49k before Steam's cut
$9.99
103 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Ogre
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
2.4x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$63k–$170k after Steam's cut $115k–$261k before Steam's cut
$24.99
267 reviews
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Hex GridStrategy
Gettysburg: Fields of Valor
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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2 user reviews
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Est. copies
≈ 174–282
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SimulationHistorical
Fealty
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Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$306–$824 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before Steam's cut
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9 reviews
9 user reviews
Turn-Based StrategyHex Grid

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.