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How many copies did Steam: Rails to Riches sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
from 121 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steam: Rails to Riches and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Steam: Rails to Riches's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 199k–491k
best case 528k (For The King II)
Games like Steam: Rails to Riches

A typical game among these

≈ 199k–491k copies

≈ $1.2M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: For The King II at ≈ 403k–654k copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (6 of 8) and Tabletop (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party-Based RPG + Board Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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3.0x vs typical
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Early AccessAutomation

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