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How many copies did Chaos Reborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 56k–91k
$154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$636k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chaos Reborn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chaos Reborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 235k–496k
best case 1.4M (ENDLESS Legend™)
Games like Chaos Reborn

A typical game among these

≈ 235k–496k copies

≈ $1.5M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ENDLESS Legend™ at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 4X + Turn-Based, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Wonders III
2014
Est. copies
≈ 745k–1.2M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Battle for Wesnoth
2018
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
King's Bounty II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 137k–223k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mixed
StrategyRPG
ENDLESS Legend™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Thea: The Awakening
2015
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
King's Bounty: The Legend
2009
Est. copies
≈ 255k–414k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $891k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$6.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Warlock - Master of the Arcane
2012
Est. copies
≈ 169k–274k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Blackguards
2014
Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$603k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mixed
RPGTurn-Based

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.