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How many copies did Dark Matter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut
from 265 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Matter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Matter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 200k–341k
best case 630k (The Swapper)
Games like Dark Matter

A typical game among these

≈ 200k–341k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Swapper at ≈ 480k–780k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (6 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Sci-fi, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Axiom Verge
2015
Est. copies
≈ 324k–526k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaIndie
Iconoclasts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 153k–249k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$841k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Gato Roboto
2019
Est. copies
≈ 152k–246k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$333k–$896k after Steam's cut $606k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndieMetroidvania
The Swapper
2013
Est. copies
≈ 480k–780k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSci-fi
Dex
2015
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$954k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkRPG
STRIDER™ / ストライダー飛竜®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$981k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
The Fall
2014
Est. copies
≈ 208k–338k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$571k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSci-fi
Lost Ruins
2021
Est. copies
≈ 144k–234k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$793k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AnimePixel Graphics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.