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How many copies did XF Extreme Formula sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
from 390 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid XF Extreme Formula and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including XF Extreme Formula's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–87k
best case 3.2M (Crossout)
Games like XF Extreme Formula

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–87k copies

≈ $173k–$217k after Steam's cut

from ~847 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crossout at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 371 reviews in their first month; the range was 63 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (6 of 8) and Combat Racing (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third Person + Gun Customization. The breakout hits carry Third Person + Gun Customization + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
83x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third PersonGun Customization
Tinker Racers
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$4.99
244 reviews
Mostly Positive
Racing4 Player Local
LEGO® 2K Drive
2023
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
RacingLEGO
KitHack Model Club
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $171k–$388k before Steam's cut
$19.99
688 reviews
Mostly Positive
ModdableOpen World
Oh Baby Kart
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
241 reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingArcade
TRAIL OUT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$540k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $981k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
DestructionRacing
Kanjozoku Game レーサー Online Street Racing & Drift
2022
Est. copies
≈ 86k–139k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$486k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMassively Multiplayer
Nickelodeon Kart Racers 2: Grand Prix
2020
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$115k–$310k after Steam's cut $210k–$478k before Steam's cut
$19.99
847 reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingAction

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