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How many copies did Orbo's Odyssey sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 41k–66k
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $102k–$231k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Orbo's Odyssey and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Orbo's Odyssey's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 195k–702k
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Orbo's Odyssey

A typical game among these

≈ 195k–702k copies

≈ $2.6M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 508 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Dark Humor + Puzzle-Platformer + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
48x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Psychonauts
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerComedy
Psychonauts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 360k–586k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerStory Rich
Journey To The Savage Planet
2021
Est. copies
≈ 172k–279k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Pumpkin Jack
2020
Est. copies
≈ 244k–396k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Cosmic Shake
2023
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFamily Friendly
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World
Tinykin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$742k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerCute

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