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How many copies did Psychonauts 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 360k–586k
$5.9M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Psychonauts 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Psychonauts 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–8.1M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Psychonauts 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–8.1M copies

≈ $11.6M–$46.5M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (3 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction RPG
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack

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