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How many copies did Bug Heroes: Tower Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 54 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bug Heroes: Tower Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bug Heroes: Tower Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–13.7M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Bug Heroes: Tower Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–13.7M copies

≈ $14.5M–$85.0M after Steam's cut

from ~111k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Tower Defense (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (4 of 8) and Base-Building (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD Battles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayTower Defense
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
156k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies
Mindustry
2019
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingResource Management
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.