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How many copies did Plinko : Ball Falling 3D-2D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Plinko : Ball Falling 3D-2D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Plinko : Ball Falling 3D-2D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66–19k
best case 355k (Idle Slayer)
Games like Plinko : Ball Falling 3D-2D

A typical game among these

≈ 66–19k copies

≈ $41–$146 after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Idle Slayer at ≈ 270k–439k copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 114 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (6 of 8) and 2D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Idle Slayer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 270k–439k
948x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
CasualIdler
Super MineSweeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
$1.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualSimulation
Adorables
2016
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
118x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $848k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
Super Welder
2019
Est. copies
≈ 634–1k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22 reviews
Positive
Mouse onlyClicker
仙灵图录
2025
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualDating Sim
Number Game:24 Points
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualCard Game
Lucky gem
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
$0.99
11 reviews
Positive
CasualFarming Sim
Beauty Jigsaw
2024
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$218 after Steam's cut $148–$335 before Steam's cut
$0.99
12 reviews
Positive
CasualPuzzle

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