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How many copies did Super Welder sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 634–1k
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Welder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Welder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–17k
best case 29k (Pawnbarian)
Games like Super Welder

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–17k copies

≈ $22k–$82k after Steam's cut

from ~350 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pawnbarian at ≈ 22k–36k copies, ≈ $62k–$165k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 92 reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 237.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (6 of 8) and Mouse only (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Istanbul: Digital Edition
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Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
CasualStrategy
Gigachess
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≈ 5k–8k
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$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
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IndieStrategy
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Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
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$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
ChessPuzzle
Ever Seen A Cat? 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut
$4.99
408 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPoint & Click
Faerie Solitaire Remastered
2017
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
1.8x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut
$14.99
640 reviews
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Card GameBoard Game
Mind Games
2016
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≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
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215 reviews
Mixed
IndieTabletop
Pawnbarian
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
$9.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Don Duality
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Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $70k–$159k before Steam's cut
$14.99
376 reviews
Mixed
CasualCard Game

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