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How many copies did Fragment: A Story in Growing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
from 48 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fragment: A Story in Growing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fragment: A Story in Growing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–262k
best case 489k (Big Ambitions)
Games like Fragment: A Story in Growing

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–262k copies

≈ $372k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Big Ambitions at ≈ 372k–605k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 155 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Economy (8 of 8) and Life Sim (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Economy, priced around $26.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Big Ambitions
2026
Est. copies
≈ 372k–605k
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$25.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessManagement
PC Creator - PC Building Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
$5.99
214 reviews
Mixed
SimulationIdler
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 81k–132k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$222k–$598k after Steam's cut $404k–$920k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessSimulation
TRADER LIFE SIMULATOR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 51k–84k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hookah Cafe Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
$9.99
128 reviews
Mixed
SimulationSandbox
Pumping Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$139k–$372k after Steam's cut $252k–$573k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual
This Grand Life 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$159k before Steam's cut
$17.99
314 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCapitalism
The Guild 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 199k–324k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Mixed
EconomyLife Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.