How much revenue did Shards Online make?

$28–$73 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shards Online sell?

Q: How many copies did Shards Online sell?

50 to 81 copies, based on its 2 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 50–81; $28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut; from 2 reviews (2 user reviews); Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shards Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shards Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–52.4M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Shards Online

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–52.4M copies

≈ $558–$101.4M after Steam's cut

from ~50k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 76k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Battle Royale (7 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ring of Elysium 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	99k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 56x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 25x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 21x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
PIRATECRAFT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $358–$962 after Steam's cut $650–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	53 reviews Mixed	ExplorationSandbox
Borderwatch: Dark Armada 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$9.99	64 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionStrategy
Let It Flow 2021	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	734 reviews Very Positive	ActionRacing
PolyRoyale 2023	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut	$1.99	10 reviews Mixed	Battle RoyaleShooter