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How many copies did PIRATECRAFT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$358–$962 after Steam's cut $650–$1k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PIRATECRAFT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PIRATECRAFT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 237k–541k
best case 2.6M (Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™)
Games like PIRATECRAFT

A typical game among these

≈ 237k–541k copies

≈ $881k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Pirates (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pirates + Open World, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Assassin + Stealth + Parkour; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2005 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
Windward
2015
Est. copies
≈ 177k–288k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
PiratesNaval Combat
Tempest: Pirate Action RPG
2016
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$450k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $818k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mixed
PiratesAction
Risen 2: Dark Waters
2012
Est. copies
≈ 430k–698k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGPirates
Sid Meier's Pirates!
2005
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
ArcheAge
2015
Est. copies
≈ 358k–582k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerFree to Play
ATLAS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Worlds Adrift
2017
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.