How much revenue did ATLAS make?

$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ATLAS sell?

Q: How many copies did ATLAS sell?

1.3M to 2.1M copies, based on its 43k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.3M–2.1M; $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut; from 43k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ATLAS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ATLAS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41k–29.2M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like ATLAS

A typical game among these

≈ 41k–29.2M copies

≈ $389k–$205.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 105x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 120x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Abandon Ship 2019	Est. copies ≈ 39k–63k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $268k–$721k after Steam's cut $488k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	PiratesRogue-lite
Mutiny Island 2019	Est. copies ≈ 576–936 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$7.99	20 reviews Mixed	PiratesOpen World Survival Craft
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 216x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Salt 2018	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $282k–$759k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftOpen World
Blazing Sails 2023	Est. copies ≈ 267k–433k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Co-opNaval Combat
Feral Blue 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$160k before Steam's cut	$19.99	245 reviews Mixed	AdventureStrategy