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How many copies did Blazing Sails sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 267k–433k
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blazing Sails and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blazing Sails's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 190k–3.1M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Blazing Sails

A typical game among these

≈ 190k–3.1M copies

≈ $1.7M–$8.2M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 623 to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Frozenheim
2022
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$536k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $974k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mixed
EconomyResource Management
Ship of Fools
2022
Est. copies
≈ 156k–253k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$943k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
NEBULOUS: Fleet Command
2022
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$908k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySpace
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Airships: Conquer the Skies
2018
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Vehicular Combat4X
ATLAS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox

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