How much revenue did Mutiny Island make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mutiny Island sell?

Q: How many copies did Mutiny Island sell?

576 to 936 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 576–936; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mutiny Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mutiny Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–90k

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like Mutiny Island

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–90k copies

≈ $73k–$630k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 339 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 772.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Building + Multiplayer + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 346x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Salt 2018	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $282k–$759k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftOpen World
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 623x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Landless 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $27k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut	$14.99	193 reviews Mixed	SurvivalAdventure
Out of Reach 2018	Est. copies ≈ 93k–151k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Mixed	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
IfSunSets 2024	Est. copies ≈ 62k–101k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $342k–$919k after Steam's cut $621k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessNature
25°N 71°W 2022	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	SurvivalOpen World
Captain Bones : A Pirate's Journey 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut	$14.99	386 reviews Very Positive	AdventureNaval