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How many copies did Sid Meier's Pirates! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 478k–777k
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sid Meier's Pirates! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sid Meier's Pirates!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 678k–1.5M
best case 2.6M (Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™)
Games like Sid Meier's Pirates!

A typical game among these

≈ 678k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.7M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Pirates (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pirates + Open World, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2005 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ATLAS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Risen 2: Dark Waters
2012
Est. copies
≈ 430k–698k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGPirates
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 545k–886k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeHack and Slash
GreedFall
2019
Est. copies
≈ 636k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
Naval Action
2019
Est. copies
≈ 428k–695k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mixed
SailingNaval Combat
Gothic II: Gold Edition
2005
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RPGClassic
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 611k–993k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World

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