How much revenue did Windward make?

$487k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Windward sell?

Q: How many copies did Windward sell?

177k to 288k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 177k–288k; $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Windward and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Windward's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 344k–683k

best case 2.6M (Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™)

Games like Windward

A typical game among these

≈ 344k–683k copies

≈ $2.6M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Pirates (8 of 8) and Naval Combat (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Pirates + Open World, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2005 to 2025, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.2M 7.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	79k reviews Very Positive	PiratesOpen World
Pixel Piracy 2014	Est. copies ≈ 412k–669k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeSandbox
Naval Action 2019	Est. copies ≈ 428k–695k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Mixed	SailingNaval Combat
The Pirate: Caribbean Hunt 2016	Est. copies ≈ 194k–315k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Blackwake 2020	Est. copies ≈ 646k–1.0M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Very Positive	PiratesMultiplayer
Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii 2025	Est. copies ≈ 248k–402k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005	Est. copies ≈ 478k–777k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Very Positive	PiratesOpen World
Blazing Sails 2023	Est. copies ≈ 267k–433k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Co-opNaval Combat