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How many copies did Bot Colony sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
from 97 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bot Colony and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bot Colony's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–6.4M
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like Bot Colony

A typical game among these

≈ 4.4M–6.4M copies

≈ $35.4M–$107.3M after Steam's cut

from ~128k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Robots (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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NieR:Automata™
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≈ 5.3M–8.6M
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Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach
2021
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≈ 1.7M–2.8M
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HorrorSingleplayer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
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≈ 3.2M–5.2M
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Open WorldAdventure
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
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CatsAdventure
Binary Domain
2012
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$14.99
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ActionThird-Person Shooter
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Wolfenstein: The New Order
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.7M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction

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