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How many copies did Epic Battle Fantasy 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 187k–305k
$773k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Epic Battle Fantasy 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Epic Battle Fantasy 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 369k–512k
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Epic Battle Fantasy 4

A typical game among these

≈ 369k–512k copies

≈ $3.2M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsJRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
54x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Monster Sanctuary
2020
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorPixel Graphics
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 281k–457k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based Combat
Grimm's Hollow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG

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