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How many copies did 元卡牌2 - MetaCard2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 元卡牌2 - MetaCard2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 元卡牌2 - MetaCard2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 577k–1.0M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like 元卡牌2 - MetaCard2

A typical game among these

≈ 577k–1.0M copies

≈ $4.5M–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (7 of 8) and Card Game (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Deckbuilding, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Singleplayer + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
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Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
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Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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200k reviews
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觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
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RPGOpen World
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
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Est. revenue
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$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
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Peglin
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Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
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Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$14.99
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TacticalRogue-like
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game

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