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How many copies did Aura Kingdom sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 475k–772k
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aura Kingdom and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aura Kingdom's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.0M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Aura Kingdom

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $20.8M–$26.8M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and Character Customization (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + First-Person, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry First-Person + VR + Memes; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VRChat
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Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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VRFree to Play
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
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MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFighting
KurtzPel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 978k–1.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
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34k reviews
Mixed
AnimeFree to Play
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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45k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCard Game
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeMultiplayer
Eternal Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
69k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAnime

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