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How many copies did TRIBES 3: Rivals sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
$189k–$507k after Steam's cut $343k–$780k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TRIBES 3: Rivals and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including TRIBES 3: Rivals's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.1M
best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like TRIBES 3: Rivals

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.1M copies

≈ $18.0M–$60.4M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (3 of 3) and Co-op (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Bodycam
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut
$33.32
67k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.