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How many copies did Sports Bar VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–57k
$192k–$516k after Steam's cut $349k–$795k before Steam's cut
from 840 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sports Bar VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sports Bar VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 590k–1.8M
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like Sports Bar VR

A typical game among these

≈ 590k–1.8M copies

≈ $7.2M–$22.3M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Rhythm, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
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26k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
EA SPORTS™ WRC
2023
Est. copies
≈ 283k–460k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
11k reviews
Mixed
RacingSimulation
F1® 24
2024
Est. copies
≈ 474k–771k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingDriving
iRacing
2015
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$11.59
8k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
Project CARS 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving

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