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How many copies did ASTRA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 620–1k
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $927–$2k before Steam's cut
from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ASTRA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ASTRA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 246k–5.5M
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like ASTRA

A typical game among these

≈ 246k–5.5M copies

≈ $1.8M–$24.2M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 637 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$19.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
DARK SOULS™: Prepare To Die™ Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
79k reviews
Very Positive
Haiku, the Robot
2022
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$489k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $888k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAdventure
Dread Delusion
2024
Est. copies
≈ 132k–214k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$724k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon
2025
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $19.9M–$45.4M before Steam's cut
$44.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureOpen World
Drova - Forsaken Kin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 243k–394k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
RPGExploration

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