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How many copies did Dawnsbury Days sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dawnsbury Days and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawnsbury Days's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 150k–253k
best case 730k (Wasteland 3)
Games like Dawnsbury Days

A typical game among these

≈ 150k–253k copies

≈ $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wasteland 3 at ≈ 557k–904k copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and CRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Character Customization, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Sexual Content + Violent; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Low Magic Age
2017
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $910k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessDungeons & Dragons
Wasteland 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 557k–904k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGCharacter Customization
King Arthur: Knight's Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 188k–305k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
The Age of Decadence
2015
Est. copies
≈ 198k–322k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$818k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatChoices Matter
Expeditions: Rome
2022
Est. copies
≈ 169k–274k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG
Stolen Realm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$541k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $983k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsParty-Based RPG
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game
2023
Est. copies
≈ 107k–173k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-BasedTactical RPG

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