How much revenue did Age of Water make?

$720k–$1.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Age of Water sell?

Q: How many copies did Age of Water sell?

87k to 142k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 87k–142k; $720k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Age of Water and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Age of Water's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.1M–52.0M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like Age of Water

A typical game among these

≈ 27.1M–52.0M copies

≈ $348.3M–$506.7M after Steam's cut

from ~530k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Unturned 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	565k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Feral Blue 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$160k before Steam's cut	$19.99	245 reviews Mixed	AdventureStrategy
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Capsa 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	257 reviews Mixed	Character CustomizationOpen World