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How many copies did Nothing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 247k–401k
$67k–$181k after Steam's cut $122k–$278k before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nothing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nothing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.3M–4.9M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Nothing

A typical game among these

≈ 4.3M–4.9M copies

≈ $4.7M–$39.7M after Steam's cut

from ~125k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sexual Content (5 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Tower Defense + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Blender
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Animation & ModelingSoftware
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.