Sign in
wishvane

How big is 奕剑江湖?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 18k–29k
from 718 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 奕剑江湖 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 奕剑江湖's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–2.9M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like 奕剑江湖

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–2.9M copies

≈ $9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (3 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Survival + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Darwin Project
2020
Est. copies
≈ 458k–743k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Dota Underlords
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Ironsight
2019
Est. copies
≈ 642k–1.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAction
Eternal Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
69k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAnime

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.