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How many copies did fishTDX sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid fishTDX and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including fishTDX's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–80k
best case 572k (Bad North: Jotunn Edition)
Games like fishTDX

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–80k copies

≈ $38k–$537k after Steam's cut

from ~706 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bad North: Jotunn Edition at ≈ 436k–709k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 248 reviews in their first month; the range was 127 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + Vikings, priced around $15.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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StrategyTower Defense
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Est. copies
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20x vs typical
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Tower DefenseStrategy

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