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How many copies did 南栀 Unwavering love sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$49k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$204k before Steam's cut
from 806 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 南栀 Unwavering love and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 南栀 Unwavering love's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.7M
best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)
Games like 南栀 Unwavering love

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–1.7M copies

≈ $11.0M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 4.5M–7.4M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Life is Strange 2
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Choices MatterStory Rich
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RelaxingCute
Split Fiction
2025
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≈ 3.2M–5.1M
3.3x vs typical
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Co-opSplit Screen
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CyberpunkVisual Novel
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≈ 8.6M–14.0M
4.5x vs typical
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Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
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≈ 759k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Very Positive
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Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter

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