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How many copies did PizzaPanic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PizzaPanic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PizzaPanic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–3.7M
best case 4.5M (Stumble Guys)
Games like PizzaPanic

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–3.7M copies

≈ $65.0M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Stumble Guys at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 111 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 46k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Robots (5 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Racing.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 3.4M–5.6M
1.6x vs typical
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Free to PlayBattle Royale
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2019
Est. copies
≈ 236k–384k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
MechsTactical RPG
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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$49.99
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Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
PvPMultiplayer
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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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Party GameMinigames

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