How much revenue did PolyPine make?

$25k–$67k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did PolyPine sell?

Q: How many copies did PolyPine sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 405 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut; from 405 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PolyPine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PolyPine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31k–70k

best case 281k (Tiny Pasture)

Games like PolyPine

A typical game among these

≈ 31k–70k copies

≈ $47k–$133k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tiny Pasture at ≈ 214k–348k copies, ≈ $353k–$949k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 363 reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Clicker (8 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Idler + Farming Sim, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Management + Farming Sim + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tiny Pasture 2025	Est. copies ≈ 214k–348k 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	9k reviews Very Positive	IdlerFarming Sim
Bird 2021	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$0.99	1k reviews Very Positive	NatureFlight
Cornerpond 2025	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut	$2.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationIdler
Capybara Spa 2022	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCasual
Click Mage 2025	Est. copies ≈ 64k–104k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $88k–$237k after Steam's cut $160k–$365k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	SimulationClicker
Croakoloco 2024	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $21k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut	$5.99	524 reviews Very Positive	Creature CollectorIdler
Bunny Park 2020	Est. copies ≈ 22k–35k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut	$4.99	871 reviews Very Positive	SimulationCute
Lyca 2025	Est. copies ≈ 33k–54k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Very Positive	CasualClicker