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How many copies did Golf Guys sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Golf Guys and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Golf Guys's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.3M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Golf Guys

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.3M copies

≈ $22.2M–$52.4M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sports (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (4 of 8) and Competitive (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + Football (Soccer) + Racing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
FPS Chess
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Football (American)Football (Soccer)

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