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How many copies did Blood Bar Tycoon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–33k
$113k–$305k after Steam's cut $206k–$469k before Steam's cut
from 831 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blood Bar Tycoon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blood Bar Tycoon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.8M–19.5M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Blood Bar Tycoon

A typical game among these

≈ 6.8M–19.5M copies

≈ $55.1M–$341.4M after Steam's cut

from ~264k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and FPS (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry Shooter + FPS + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
154k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.