How much revenue did MoonWhite make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MoonWhite sell?

Q: How many copies did MoonWhite sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 268 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut; from 268 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MoonWhite and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MoonWhite's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 196–448

best case 67k (First Cut: Samurai Duel)

Games like MoonWhite

A typical game among these

≈ 196–448 copies

≈ $188–$974 after Steam's cut

from ~8 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: First Cut: Samurai Duel at ≈ 51k–84k copies, ≈ $127k–$342k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 530 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Fighter (6 of 8) and Martial Arts (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Arcade, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Arcade + Swordplay + Side Scroller; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
First Cut: Samurai Duel 2024	Est. copies ≈ 51k–84k 259x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut	$8.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerHack and Slash
Sclash 2023	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k 75x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut	$8.99	603 reviews Very Positive	2D FighterHand-drawn
Swordian Hero 2020	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$7.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	Action RoguelikeExploration
Freyr's Love 2021	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $68–$181 after Steam's cut $123–$279 before Steam's cut	$0.99	10 reviews Positive	Pixel GraphicsMythology
Castle Of Collapse 2021	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut	$1.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Stealth Blade 2023	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$676 before Steam's cut	$3.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	NinjaStealth
Shadow Prisoner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$13.99	34 reviews Positive	Action2D Fighter
SLOWLY FIGHTER 2025	Est. copies ≈ 372–605 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$5.99	15 reviews Positive	2D Fighter2.5D