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How many copies did Stealth Blade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$676 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stealth Blade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stealth Blade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204k–613k
best case 2.1M (Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun)
Games like Stealth Blade

A typical game among these

≈ 204k–613k copies

≈ $1.4M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 46 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Ninja (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + Tactical, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mark of the Ninja
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
Chess Knights: Shinobi
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
70 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleNinja
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China
2015
Est. copies
≈ 191k–310k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $954k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AssassinStealth
Aragami
2016
Est. copies
≈ 541k–878k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StealthNinja
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered
2018
Est. copies
≈ 211k–343k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthNinja
Aragami 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthNinja
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 120k–196k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$662k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy

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