How much revenue did Aragami 2 make?

$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Aragami 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Aragami 2 sell?

115k to 187k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 115k–187k; $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aragami 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aragami 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 257k–661k

best case 2.1M (Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun)

Games like Aragami 2

A typical game among these

≈ 257k–661k copies

≈ $1.2M–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Ninja (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Stealth + Tactical, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered 2018	Est. copies ≈ 211k–343k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthNinja
Ninja Fights 2022	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$5.99	14 reviews Positive	NinjaPlatformer
Mark of the Ninja unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 394k–640k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Stealth Platformer
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthStrategy
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 120k–196k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $662k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Real Time TacticsStrategy
Chess Knights: Shinobi 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$2.99	70 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleNinja
Aragami 2016	Est. copies ≈ 541k–878k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	StealthNinja
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China 2015	Est. copies ≈ 191k–310k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $954k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	AssassinStealth