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How many copies did Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 104 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 810k–1.4M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie

A typical game among these

≈ 810k–1.4M copies

≈ $11.1M–$25.7M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry CRPG + Exploration + Tactical RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
6.2x vs typical
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Est. copies
≈ 625k–1.0M
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
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Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
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Est. revenue
$17.8M–$47.8M after Steam's cut $32.3M–$73.6M before Steam's cut
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≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2022
Est. copies
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$59.99
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SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.