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How many copies did Collateral Dungeon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Collateral Dungeon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Collateral Dungeon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–99k
best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)
Games like Collateral Dungeon

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–99k copies

≈ $299k–$569k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 828 reviews in their first month; the range was 314 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Female Protagonist, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

One Way Heroics
2014
Est. copies
≈ 233k–378k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$223k–$601k after Steam's cut $406k–$924k before Steam's cut
$3.49
4k reviews
Very Positive
Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
Tangledeep
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$187k–$502k after Steam's cut $339k–$772k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Vivid Knight
2021
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$175k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$722k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Shattered Pixel Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 95k–155k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $715k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ActionTower Defense
The Backrooms: Survival
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded-
2018
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $980k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure

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