How much revenue did Astebreed: Definitive Edition make?

$510k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Astebreed: Definitive Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did Astebreed: Definitive Edition sell?

93k to 151k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 93k–151k; $510k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $927k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astebreed: Definitive Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astebreed: Definitive Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–280k

best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)

Games like Astebreed: Definitive Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–280k copies

≈ $390k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Bullet Hell (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 429 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 792.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Female Protagonist, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 51x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	154k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Castle Break 2019	Est. copies ≈ 22k–35k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut	$4.99	749 reviews Very Positive	ActionArcade
Furi 2016	Est. copies ≈ 585k–951k 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Bullet HellHack and Slash
NanoApostle 2024	Est. copies ≈ 33k–53k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	ActionBoss Rush
CosmicBreak Universal 2021	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayAction
HYPER DEMON 2022	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FPSArena Shooter
Battle Ram 2023	Est. copies ≈ 66k–108k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $996k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Spectacle fighterBullet Hell
Endorphin Vice 2022	Est. copies ≈ 89k–145k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $244k–$657k after Steam's cut $444k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Mixed	Early AccessPhysics