How much revenue did Castle Break make?

$30k–$80k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Castle Break sell?

Q: How many copies did Castle Break sell?

22k to 35k copies, based on its 749 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 22k–35k; $30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut; from 749 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castle Break and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castle Break's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–9.7M

best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)

Games like Castle Break

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–9.7M copies

≈ $29.8M–$41.1M after Steam's cut

from ~143k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Competitive (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 57k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 129k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Competitive (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2000 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
MultiVersus 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	116k reviews Mostly Positive	Multiplayer2D Fighter
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackGore
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Counter-Strike 2000	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
Hotline Miami 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackViolent
Duck Game 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut	$12.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	143k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play