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How many copies did Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
from 187 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–12.6M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–12.6M copies

≈ $35.1M–$165.8M after Steam's cut

from ~196k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 64k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
158k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
235k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration

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