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How many copies did Golden Warden sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Golden Warden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Golden Warden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 90k–107k
best case 109k (Despot's Game: Dystopian Battle Simulator)
Games like Golden Warden

A typical game among these

≈ 90k–107k copies

≈ $492k–$766k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Despot's Game: Dystopian Battle Simulator at ≈ 83k–135k copies, ≈ $458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 537 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Auto Battler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Rogue-like, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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